Key points from Scoobyliscious' blog:
"This week, unsurprisingly, the league leaders are the best offensive option."
"Newcastle at home to Sunderland in the second position. Magpies, Gunners, Villa are level on 18 goals in 11 games at home, but the Toon Army have the joy of facing the worst of the 3 defenses, so they see a boost in their predicted score."
(This begs the question of an examination of recent form as proposed by dan_monkey. Sunderland's recent form under Sbragia sees the defence dramtically improved in the last 5 games.)
"The Geordies and the Cottagers should provide everyone with inexpensive options while we load up on streaking Man Utd players."
"Fulham are the only squad predicted to allow less than 0.5 goals, based upon an above-average defense facing a below-average attack."
Friday, 30 January 2009
Premier League team news: Weekend squad, stats and betting tips
Saturday, Jan 31
Stat Attack: Arsenal have scored in their last nine Premier League games, the best run in the division.Stat Attack: Wigan are the only team to have converted four penalties this season.
Stat Attack: Spurs have not won at Bolton since 1996.
Stat Attack: Pompey are unbeaten in their last three visits to Craven Cottage.
Stat Attack: Blackburn have won on four of their last five visits to the Riverside.
Stat Attack: Robinho scored his first hat-trick in English football when Manchester City beat Stoke 3-0 in October.
Stat Attack: Liverpool have gone 22 games and 13 months since their last home defeat.
Stat Attack: Sunderland, 2-1 winners in October, are looking for their first derby double over Newcastle since the 1966-67 campaign.
Premier-League-team-news-Weekend-squad-stats-and-betting-tips.
Thursday, 29 January 2009
Relative Form Statistic
I was thinking has anyone come across stats that reflect a season's relative difficulty for any given club, based upon the relative form of opposition. For example you might award a difficulty rating based upon the opposition's last 5 results and tally it all up.
is this silly? or would it end up interesting reading? i was thinking about how hull and stoke have recently dipped and how it would be better to play them away now then it was in october.
perhaps this is just an excuse machine (thinking of arsenal).
(supplied by Saltbeef Showcase manager, dan_monkey_2000)
is this silly? or would it end up interesting reading? i was thinking about how hull and stoke have recently dipped and how it would be better to play them away now then it was in october.
perhaps this is just an excuse machine (thinking of arsenal).
(supplied by Saltbeef Showcase manager, dan_monkey_2000)
Revealed: Fink Tank's secret formula
The Times: Fink Tank's secret formula
helps you to make your own rough-and-ready estimation of match-day probability. With just a few figures and a calculator, you should be able to do it in the pub on the way to the match."Pre-season finale
This blog is being created for the purpose of providing an information channel dedicated to uk Premier League Fantasy Football. This is borne out of an acknowledged, if suppressed, aching need to discuss and investigate further the statistics that increasingly encroach on and enhance our enjoyment of the beautiful game. Statistics are a relatively new aspect to our understanding of the game arming us with a double edged sword of enlightenment and ugliness. What human being deserves to be broken down into discreet units of data? Certainly not our beloved heroes who rise from the tunnels to slay our common enemy twice a week. And, yet how can we resist wanting to know that Steve McLaren justified Frank Lampard's position in the England team largely by the citing the statistic that Flumps had the highest percentage of completed passes than any other. Top flight managers have dossiers devoted to statistics such as this, compiled by technicians who have access to information supplied by chips implanted into every player who has signed a professional contract in the last 10 years. And we, the punters, are given slithers, teasers of information by our media overlords which leave us slathering for more.
One of the best and only ways to access 'more' information over the recent years has been through Premier League Fantasy Football supplied by Yahoo!. Yahoo! evolved the Fantasy Football game, smashing the information barrier. Many are now also supplying excellent, more in depth games, such as the Starting 11, and the Guardian. When I was a nipper, the only games available rewarded points for goals, assists, clean sheets, cautions and appearances. Granted, many such retrograde games still exist and you can still pay newspapers to allow you the pleasure to enter into their simplistic matrices. However, Yahoo first gave us the possibility of getting points for exciting new things like Shots on Target, Successful Crosses, Tackles Won and Blocked Shots to name a few. There was even a time when players were punished -0.03 points for each time they gave the ball away. This gave rise to an evolved meritocracy. In the old model, the perogative was purely to cram as many as the top teams players into your team as possible. Not that this isn't entirely the case now, but, today, the system rewards the obscure. Over the years, the likes of Graham Stuart, Simon Davies and Dean Whitehead have earnt relative success and a healthy respect through their abilities to accumulate successful crosses and tackles won on the sly. What hope for these totems to mediocrity under the old model?
The purpose of this small corner is to devote time and space to the understanding of the game. A community exists through the forums but there is a lack of in depth scrutiny.
The idea is to provide a platform for a collection of resources and insights derived from various sources and an archive of lateral statistical investigation. Anyone is free to ask or answer. There is no need for anyone to "sign in."
First question ..... Is anyone up for trying to explain Felipe Caicedo?
One of the best and only ways to access 'more' information over the recent years has been through Premier League Fantasy Football supplied by Yahoo!. Yahoo! evolved the Fantasy Football game, smashing the information barrier. Many are now also supplying excellent, more in depth games, such as the Starting 11, and the Guardian. When I was a nipper, the only games available rewarded points for goals, assists, clean sheets, cautions and appearances. Granted, many such retrograde games still exist and you can still pay newspapers to allow you the pleasure to enter into their simplistic matrices. However, Yahoo first gave us the possibility of getting points for exciting new things like Shots on Target, Successful Crosses, Tackles Won and Blocked Shots to name a few. There was even a time when players were punished -0.03 points for each time they gave the ball away. This gave rise to an evolved meritocracy. In the old model, the perogative was purely to cram as many as the top teams players into your team as possible. Not that this isn't entirely the case now, but, today, the system rewards the obscure. Over the years, the likes of Graham Stuart, Simon Davies and Dean Whitehead have earnt relative success and a healthy respect through their abilities to accumulate successful crosses and tackles won on the sly. What hope for these totems to mediocrity under the old model?
The purpose of this small corner is to devote time and space to the understanding of the game. A community exists through the forums but there is a lack of in depth scrutiny.
The idea is to provide a platform for a collection of resources and insights derived from various sources and an archive of lateral statistical investigation. Anyone is free to ask or answer. There is no need for anyone to "sign in."
First question ..... Is anyone up for trying to explain Felipe Caicedo?
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